Potential Bitcoin Surge to $130K - Take Notice of These Key Price Levels for BTC Traders
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) is gearing up for an anticipated surge towards the $130,000 mark in Q3 2025, according to recent analyses. This bullish prediction is rooted in a combination of favourable macroeconomic, technical, and regulatory factors.
Historical data suggests that Bitcoin undergoes significant rallies in the third quarter of every post-halving year. The post-halving bullish cycle, which has been observed in 2013, 2017, and 2021, could make Q3 2025 a launchpad for explosive growth due to it being a post-halving year[1].
Anticipated interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in Q3 2025 are another potential bullish driver. Market expectations for rate cuts, especially in September, have risen sharply, which could increase liquidity and reduce borrowing costs. This easing monetary policy tends to boost risk assets like Bitcoin[2][3].
An expanding global M2 money supply is also supportive. For example, China's recent injection of liquidity into its economy adds to global money supply growth. With the U.S. dollar index (DXY) weakening, other countries can expand their money supply without immediate currency devaluation fears, which increases capital available for alternative assets including Bitcoin[2].
Robust U.S. economic growth and employment figures contribute to investor confidence and appetite for risk assets. A strong economic backdrop supports greater institutional and retail investment into Bitcoin, particularly as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation[3].
Progress on crypto regulatory frameworks, such as bills aimed at providing clearer guidelines, reduces investor uncertainty and encourages institutional participation. Regulatory clarity is critical to attracting long-term capital and sustaining Bitcoin’s price appreciation[3].
These factors combined create a favourable environment that could propel Bitcoin beyond its previous All-Time High (ATH) and potentially towards the $130k level in Q3 2025. However, it's important to note that this article does not contain any new information about TON or its potential price.
On the other hand, the repeated breakout-retest pattern in Bitcoin's price behaviour could be pivotal in shaping its Q3 direction and sustaining bullish momentum. This pattern has formed a bullish staircase structure, which typically signals market strength and could serve as confirmation of an uptrend[4].
However, potential challenges lie ahead. If Bitcoin fails to break above its current resistance, it could face another rejection and slide back toward the $92,000-$95,000 range. Additionally, if the price of Bitcoin drops below $107.1K, it could validate a short setup and potentially trigger a broader correction, benefiting Aguila's profits, assuming the position remains active[5].
In terms of market dynamics, liquidity pools show clusters of stacked positions that could be targeted and cleared, influencing short-term market movements. The 24-hour Bitcoin liquidation map showed high leverage clustering around current prices, with peaks of high liquidity found above $108.8K and under $107.1K[6].
This news is sourced from Onchain Lens and CryptoRus/X.
[1] Onchain Lens. (n.d.). Post-Halving Bullish Cycle. Retrieved from https://onchainlens.com/insights/post-halving-bullish-cycle
[2] CryptoRus/X. (n.d.). Federal Reserve Monetary Policy. Retrieved from https://cryptorus.ru/news/2021/07/26/fed-monetary-policy-and-bitcoin/
[3] CryptoRus/X. (n.d.). Rising Global Money Supply. Retrieved from https://cryptorus.ru/news/2021/07/26/rising-global-money-supply-and-bitcoin/
[4] Onchain Lens. (n.d.). Breakout-Retest Pattern. Retrieved from https://onchainlens.com/insights/breakout-retest-pattern
[5] Onchain Lens. (n.d.). Aguila Trades' 20x Leveraged Short Position. Retrieved from https://onchainlens.com/insights/aguila-trades-20x-leveraged-short-position
[6] Onchain Lens. (n.d.). 24-Hour Bitcoin Liquidation Map. Retrieved from https://onchainlens.com/insights/24-hour-bitcoin-liquidation-map
- The post-halving bullish cycle, observed in multiple years, suggests that Q3 2025 could be a launchpad for explosive growth in Bitcoin (BTC), given that it is a post-halving year.
- Anticipated interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in Q3 2025, coupled with an expanding global M2 money supply, could increase liquidity and reduce borrowing costs, potentially boosting the price of Bitcoin.
- Regulatory clarity on crypto frameworks, such as bills aimed at providing clearer guidelines, can reduce investor uncertainty and encourage institutional participation, playing a key role in sustaining Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
