London's port exports surging amidst taxation warnings
The impact of President Trump's tariffs on the Port of London Authority's imports and exports, particularly steel, and UK GDP has been complex but measurable.
Despite tariff threats under the Trump administration's emergency tariffs and adjustments that increased steel tariffs up to 50%, the Port of London has seen export growth in 2025. This suggests that while tariffs raised costs and trade tensions, they did not cause a collapse in shipping volumes at this major UK port.
The Port of London, the largest port in the UK, handled 14 million tonnes of shipments during the second quarter of the year, marking a 6.2% increase compared to the first quarter. Exports through the Port of London saw a 42% rise compared to the previous year, allowing the UK economy to access markets around the world. Interestingly, there was a 7% increase in imports at the Port of London, making up more than two-thirds of total trade.
Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminum increased from 25% to as high as 50% in mid-2025, although the recent US-UK trade deal negotiated in 2025 reduced tariffs on UK steel and aluminum to zero. It remains unclear how these conflicting measures affected steel exports and imports specifically through the Port of London.
The tariffs are expected to reduce UK GDP by approximately 0.1 percentage points over the next year and a half, indicating a modest negative economic impact stemming from tariff-related trade frictions. This aligns with broader analyses indicating that Trump's tariffs could increase federal tax revenues in the US but also depress import demand and thus global trade to some extent.
Ongoing court challenges in the US over the legality of the tariffs (under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, IEEPA) have created uncertainty about their future, affecting trade decision-making and likely buffering the potential economic impact both at the Port of London and in the UK overall.
In conclusion, while tariffs raised under Trump did increase protectionist barriers, especially on steel, the Port of London maintained strong export activity in 2025, and the UK economy absorbed a small but negative effect on GDP, around a tenth of a percentage point. The full impact continues to be clouded by ongoing legal challenges to these tariffs in the US courts and the evolving US-UK trade relationship.
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