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Dropped by three-quarters in the last ten years: The intriguing PZ Cussons stock to monitor closely.

Struggling consumer-goods company PZ Cussons presents a potential investment opportunity, asserts Jamie Ward.

Out-of-favour consumer-goods company PZ Cussons presents a potential investment opportunity,...
Out-of-favour consumer-goods company PZ Cussons presents a potential investment opportunity, according to Jamie Ward's perspective.

Dropped by three-quarters in the last ten years: The intriguing PZ Cussons stock to monitor closely.

In a world where some investors lose faith in a company's future, it seems that PZ Cussons (LSE: PZC) has fallen into that category. This once-formidable consumer goods business has been hit by a series of hardships over the past decade, with its share price plummeting by an astounding 75%. The market seems to have written off the company, considering its ongoing struggles as a new norm. But is this truly the case? Or does the current market sentiment overlook an intriguing contrarian opportunity?

PZ Cussons boasts a portfolio of personal care, beauty, and homecare brands, including Carex, Imperial Leather, and St. Tropez. These fast-moving consumer goods are usually considered to be reliable investments. However, the company has faced external pressures, internal missteps, and a steep fall from grace since its share price peaked in 2014.

One of the significant challenges for PZ Cussons has been its exposure to Nigeria, a historically vital market for the company. Currency devaluations, economic instability, and high inflation have taken a toll on the company's operations in the region, eroding profitability and creating unpredictability in financial performance. Nigeria currently accounts for approximately a quarter of the company's business, making it a major source of difficulty within the company.

The devaluation of the Nigerian currency in 2023 dealt a particularly painful blow, forcing the company to absorb substantial foreign-exchange-related hits to earnings. To make matters worse, weaker consumer confidence and supply chain disruptions have made it increasingly difficult to pass on cost increases to customers.

Beyond Nigeria, PZ Cussons has also felt the brunt of more universal pressure. The inflationary environment has driven up costs across the supply chain, while intense competition in key divisions has limited the company's ability to raise prices without compromising on market share. Adding to the woes, the UK operations have been grappling with declining demand in certain core product segments.

Despite the hardships, PZ Cussons isn't standing still. The management team, led by CEO Jonathan Myers since 2020, is taking decisive steps to stabilize and invigorate the business. The turnaround plan hinges on three key areas: brand strengthening, portfolio simplification, and cost efficiencies.

The first step is refocusing on core brands. Instead of spreading itself thin across a vast portfolio, the company plans to double down on its strongest assets. This includes investing in marketing and innovation for flagship products such as Carex and St. Tropez, in a bid to fuel greater brand loyalty and pricing power. The company has already observed positive signs, with its beauty segment performing well in developed markets.

Secondly, management is streamlining operations by divesting non-core brands and markets. This is particularly essential given the complexities and volatility associated with the Nigerian business. Although Nigeria remains a strategic market, PZ Cussons is working to reduce its exposure and lessen dependence on historically unpredictable contributions to the company's profits. Recent sales of its Polish and Greek businesses are part of this broader rationalization strategy.

Lastly, the company is implementing cost-cutting measures to improve efficiency. This encompasses optimizing the supply chain, reducing overheads, and enhancing operational execution. These efforts are crucial in mitigating inflationary pressures and protecting profit margins.

So, can PZ Cussons prove the skeptics wrong? Earnings are currently at a low ebb, and the company's shares trade at a P/E ratio of around ten, which suggests the market remains skeptical. However, this valuation could prove attractive if the turnaround strategy succeeds, particularly if the company manages to navigate its Nigerian challenges more effectively and delivers a stronger performance from its premium beauty brands.

History suggests that companies boasting strong brands and disciplined management can bounce back from difficult periods. PZ Cussons is not a dying business; rather, it has faced formidable hurdles that it is working to overcome. If management can deliver on its strategy, the current stock price may ultimately demonstrate to be a compelling investment opportunity.

As always, there are risks. Nigeria remains a complex market, and macroeconomic headwinds could persist longer than expected. Nevertheless, PZ Cussons' underlying brands still hold significant value, and its cost-cutting initiatives should provide resilience even in a challenging environment.

Investors who enjoy taking contrarian positions may find this an appealing opportunity to acquire a recovering consumer goods company at an attractive valuation. For those who are willing to take on the risks, this is certainly one to watch—any positive indications of a return to better times call for a buying opportunity.

  1. Despite the company's current struggles, PZ Cussons is taking decisive steps towards revitalization, focusing on brand strengthening, portfolio simplification, and cost efficiencies, which could make it an intriguing contrarian investment opportunity in the finance sector.
  2. Given the company's robust portfolio of personal care, beauty, and homecare brands and the ongoing efforts by management to stabilize and invigorate the business, PZ Cussons might prove the skeptics wrong and offer a compelling investing opportunity, especially if its turnaround strategy shows promising results, particularly in its core brands and premium beauty segments.

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