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Despite Q4 setbacks, remain optimistic about 2021's prospects

Retail company is experimenting with compact "Express Edit" store formats, similar to competitors, eager to capitalize on anticipated shopping appetite for clothing in 2022.

Exude optimism for 2021, despite Q4 setbacks
Exude optimism for 2021, despite Q4 setbacks

Despite Q4 setbacks, remain optimistic about 2021's prospects

Express, the American fashion retailer, faced difficulties in 2020 due to changing consumer behavior and decreased apparel sales during the COVID-19 pandemic. To adapt, the company focused on several key areas.

Last year, Express made operational improvements, streamlined its store fleet, reinvented its product, repositioned its brand, reduced costs, and bolstered its finances. The company also closed 100 stores as part of adjustments to changing fashions and ebbing apparel sales.

In a move to optimize store locations and sizes, Express has shown a preference for stores outside of malls. The company is also testing smaller "Express Edit" stores with localized merchandising, planning to open eight of these this year with short lease terms.

Despite the challenges, Express continues to advance with clarity and purpose. The company's efforts seem to be paying off, as the net loss narrowed to $53.3 million from $141.6 million year over year. The operating loss also narrowed significantly, from $189.9 million to $62.7 million.

However, the company expects to see markdowns this quarter due to higher inventory at the end of the year. Gross margin in the fourth quarter contracted to 16.6% of sales from 27% a year ago.

Despite these challenges, Express remains optimistic about 2021. The company anticipates sequential comps, significant gross margin improvement, positive EBITDA for the second half of the year, and other improvements. Express is seen as a potential beneficiary post-pandemic due to anticipated demand for social occasion dressing and merchandising improvements.

Industry analysts expect the apparel sector, including companies like Express, to gradually recover as stores reopen and consumer demand returns. Express is planning approximately $35 million in capital expenditures for 2021.

Express's more casual "Express Essentials" offering is expected to generate $125 million in sales this year. The company's focus on optimizing store locations and sizes, as well as testing smaller stores with localized merchandising, indicates a strategic approach to navigating the changing retail landscape.

Express's positive EBITDA forecast for the second half of 2021, combined with these strategic initiatives, suggests that the company is well-positioned to weather the ongoing challenges and emerge stronger in the post-pandemic world.

  1. Express, in an effort to boost profits, is investing $35 million in capital expenditures this year, focusing on optimizing store locations and sizes, as well as testing smaller stores with localized merchandising.
  2. The AI-driven fashion industry is anticipating a recovery in the apparel sector, with companies like Express gradually regaining consumer demand as stores reopen.
  3. Express's strategic financial moves over the past year, such as reducing costs, streamlining stores, and bolstering finances, have positioned the company for positive EBITDA in the second half of 2021, suggesting resilience in the face of ongoing challenges and potential growth in the post-pandemic world.

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